India’s soybean production in 2016/17 is expected to be 11.70 million tons, up 58 percent from last year, the United States Department of Agriculture said in its latest world supply and demand estimates report.
It said the increase is based on the assumption of normal yields. Yield is forecast at 0.97 tons per hectare, up nearly 50 percent from last year and up 5.0 percent from the 5-year average. Harvested area is forecast at 12.0 million hectares, up 5.3 percent from last year.
Poor growing conditions in 2015/16 resulted in historic low yields in the soybean producing areas, the report pointed out, as the summer monsoon ended a month earlier than normal for the majority of the soybean area and rainfall throughout the growing season was characterised as uneven and sporadic.
India is expecting a far better monsoon after two straight years of drought.
Madhya Pradesh, the largest producer, experienced excessive rainfall and pest issues throughout the growing season, which resulted in significant crop losses. However, dry weather in Maharashtra and Rajasthan caused crop losses in these districts, the report said.
India’s summer monsoon season begins in June and ends in September. Soybean planting usually coincides with the beginning of the summer monsoon in June and ends in July. Harvest typically begins in September and lasts until November.