Industry body estimates India’s cotton output at 365 lakh bales for 2017-18

The Cotton Association of India (CAI) has maintained its July estimate of the cotton crop for the ongoing season (October-September) at 365 lakh bales, same as in the last two months.

However, the CAI has revised crop estimates for Punjab and Haryana, reducing the output by two lakh bales and 50,000 bales, respectively, based on the arrivals up to July 31.

Meanwhile, the crop estimates for upper Rajasthan and lower Rajasthan have been increased by one lakh bales and 1.50 lakh bales, respectively, compared to the last month estimates based on the arrivals.

Further, the association has estimated cotton consumption for 10 months, that is from October 2017 to July 2018, at 270 lakh bales, while the shipment of Cotton till July 31 has been estimated at 67 lakh bales.

The stock at the end of July 2018 is estimated at 63.45 lakh bales, including 42.65 lakh bales with textile mills, while the remaining 20.80 lakh bales are estimated to be held by the Cotton Corporation of India (CCI) and others that include MNCs, traders, and ginners, to name a few.

The total cotton supply till end of the season, that is up to September 30 2018, is estimated at 416 lakh bales, which includes opening stock of 36 lakh bales at the beginning of the season.

The CAI has estimated domestic consumption for the season at 324 lakh bales, while the exports are estimated to be 70 lakh bales.

The carry-over stock at the end of the 2017-18 season is estimated at 22 lakh bales.

Shekhar Ghosh is consulting editor, He has edited and written for publications like Business India, Business Standard, Business Today, Outlook and many other international publications. He can be reached at


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